城镇化与人力资本积累的互动关系——基于重庆数据的经验分析

Interactive Relationship between Urbanization and Human Capital Accumulation——Based on the Empirical Analysis of Chongqing

城市经济学认为，人力资本积累是现代城镇化成功的关键。本文在现有文献的基础上，深入分析城镇化与人力资本积累的互动机制，并基于重庆1997~2012年数据，运用协整理论和误差修正模型，对二者之间的互动关系进行经验分析。结果表明：我国的城镇化显著促进了人力资本的积累，而人力资本积累却没有表现出对城镇化的推动作用；其原因可能在于我国还不是基于人力资本等生产要素自由流动的内生型城镇化。这一研究结论对于进一步推动以市场为资源配置基础的新型城镇化具有一定的政策启示。

Urban economics shows that modern urbanization far more depends on the human capital accumulation, this paper makes a deep analysis of the interactive mechanism between urbanization and human capital accumulation firstly, and then makes an empirical test through cointegration theory and error correction model based on the 1997-2012 data of Chongqing. The finding is that China＇s urbanization promotes markedly the human capital accumulation, but the human capital accumulation has no such effects on the urbanization. This mainly comes from the no-endogenous urbanization, which means restricted flow of production factors such as human capital. The finding has an important policy implication for the further New-Urbanization, which is based on the resources allocation of market.