摘要
以中国2000—2012年30个省级面板数据为研究样本,考察了经济增长及其可持续性的关系。首先采用因子分析法求得经济增长及其可持续性指标并分析二者的特征。其次采用Tapio脱钩指数和追赶脱钩指数模型分析二者之间的动态演化轨迹,结果表明我国经济增长的持续性随经济增长不断提高,大部分省份的可持续性增长幅度大于经济增长幅度,经济增长方式正在向集约型转变,并且追赶省份与模仿省份的经济增长差距不断扩大,但经济增长可持续性的差距在逐步缩小。最后提出促进经济增长及其可持续性的政策建议。
The paper investigates the relationship between the regional economic growth and its sustainability according to the 30 pro,4incial panel data of 2000-2012 years as research sample. Firstly, the paper measures the indicators of the economic growth and its sustainability by using factor analysis, and analyses its characteristics. Secondly, the paper analyses the dynamic evolution path of the regional economic growth and its sustainability by using the Tapio decoupling index and the chased decoupling index model, the results show that the sustainability of economic growth continuously improve and most of which is greater than the economic growth rate, economic growth mode will be refined, and the economic growth gap continuously expand but the gap of its sustainability is gradually narrow between the pursued provinces and imitation provinces. Finally, the paper proposes policy suggestion to promote economic growth and its sustainability.
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第11期8-14,共7页
Economic Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金重大攻关项目(12&ZD072)
关键词
经济增长
可持续性
因子分析法
脱钩指数
economic growth
sustainability
factor analysis method
decoupling index