工业环境效率的景气指数研究

Analysis of Industrial Environmental Efficiency Climate Index

环境效率是对经济发展所付出的环境代价程度的衡量。本文从环境效率的预警角度出发,界定了＂环境效率景气＂的概念,构建了环境效率景气指标体系,通过经济景气分析法编制景气指数并进行分析。结果表明,我国工业环境效率在2001~2011年期间运行状态良好,扩散指数和合成指数均反映和预示了环境效率的运行情况。但个别先行指标的不景气动向也警示了：环境效率的持续改进和景气运行亟需推动产业结构升级、优化能源消费结构、加大环保资金和技术投入、完善环境管理和污染防治。

Environmental efficiency measures the environment costs of economic development. In the warning perspective of environmental efficiency analysis,this paper defined the concept of environmental efficiency climate and constructed the index system of environmental efficiency climate. In order to evaluate the climate level,the environmental efficiency climate indexes were established by the method of macroeconomic climate. We found that the industrial environmental efficiency in China was always sound from 2001 to 2011,the results of diffusion index and composite index were both in line with the realistic environmental efficiency trends. To some extent,the analysis result can also predict the future performance of the environmental efficiency. However,several leading indicators must be paid attention to running towards recession. Further steps should be also taken to achieve continuous improvement and prosperity running in environmental efficiency,such as promoting the upgrading of industrial structure,optimizing energy consumption structure,increasing environmental protection funds and technical inputs,improving environmental management and pollution prevention measures.