中缅木材贸易发展特征与前景展望

The Developmental Characteristics and Prospects of Timber Trade between China and Myanmar

缅甸是中国木材贸易的重要伙伴国。借助地理邻近优势及森林资源禀赋差异,中缅木材贸易快速发展。利用中缅木材贸易数据,分析了中缅木材贸易发展特征及未来前景。结果发现:中缅木材贸易发展迅速,但存在不少波动,不同类型产品差别较大;中缅木材贸易的未来趋向是由原木贸易为主转向加工贸易、由天然林木材贸易转向人工林木材贸易、由非健全的木材贸易体系转向合法的木材贸易体系、由直接的木材贸易转向对外直接投资。

Myanmar is an important partner country of China on the timber trade. With the advantage of differences in forest resources endowment and geographic neighbor,the timber trade between China and Myanmar has developed rapidly. But since the international society has paid more and more attention to illegal logging and related trade,and the government of Myanmar banned the export of logs,timber trade between China and Myanmar would face strong uncertainty. The timber trade between China and Myanmar develops quickly but with some fluctuation,and there is some difference in different products; the prospects of timber trade between China and Myanmar are that shifting log trade to processing trade,shifting natural forest timber to manmade forest trade,shifting imperfect timber trade system to perfect timber trade system and shifting wood products trade to FDI. And finally this paper puts forward the revelation of the transformation of the China＇s timber trade.