当代中国转型发展期的风险识别

Risk Identification during Contemporary China's Transition and Development Period

我国转型发展期经济领域中的主要风险是城乡二元经济格局固化的风险,贫富差距日趋扩大和过分悬殊的风险,就业压力快速增大的风险,劳资矛盾和生产事故风险,经济全球化和信息网络化带来的经济金融风险。政治领域中的主要风险有主要社会群体弱势化和精英群体结盟化的风险,政治腐败与政府公信力下降的风险,国际政治冲突与军事冲突带来的风险。文化领域中的主要风险是国家主流意识形态淡化的风险,文化殖民主义和文化帝国主义入侵的风险,大众消费主义文化泛滥的风险。生态领域中的主要风险有自然灾害型生态风险、资源枯竭型生态风险、公共环境与公共卫生型生态风险。

The main risks in economic field include the dual economic structure between urban and rural areas, the widening gap between rich and poor, the increased employment stress, labor conflicts and production accidents, economic and financial risk originated from globalization and networking. The main social groups become vulnerable, the alliance of elite groups, corruption and the decline of government＇s credibility, international political and military conflict are main reasons of political risk. Cultural risks come from the reduction of Marxist ideology, cultural coloni- alism and cultural imperialism, and consumerist culture. The main ecological risks contain natural disasters, resources exhaustion and public -health risks.