关联网络视角下北京市交通运输业就业效应研究

Study on the employment effect of transportation industry in Beijing based on the connection network

在宏观经济系统中,某一产业的发展会拉动或推动其他相关产业的发展,增加这些产业的就业需求。交通运输业对就业的带动效应来源于两个方面,一是交通运输业本身发展所产生的直接就业带动效应,二是交通运输业发展带动相关产业发展所产生的间接就业带动效应。产值就业弹性是衡量产业带动就业的重要指标。文章综合运用投入产出模型、产值就业弹性模型、复杂网络可视化技术,通过对最新数据的分析发现北京市交通运输业对就业的带动效应比较大,而且呈逐年上升的趋势,说明交通运输业的产业地位日趋重要。此研究为北京市交通运输业的长期发展战略提供了有益的参考。

In macroeconomic system, the development of one industry will pull or push the development of other connected industries, and increase the employment demand of these industries. The driven effect of transportation industry on employment comes from two aspects, one is the direct employment effect generated from transportation industry development; the other is the indirect employment effect generated from the development of connected industries development because of transportation industry. Output elasticity of employment is an important index to measure the industrial employment. By the analysis of the latest data using the input-output model, the output elasticity of employment model, and complex network visualization technology, we found that the transportation industry of Beijing is not only largely driving the effect of employment, but also showed a rising trend year by year, and the transportation industry is becoming more and more important. The study provides a useful reference for the long-term development strategy of Beijing＇s transportation industry.