基于供给视角的我国经济转型研究

Based on the Perspective of Supply of Economic Transformation in China

近年来,我国经济下行压力持续加大,长期粗放型增长和前期刺激政策所累积的结构性矛盾纷纷涌现。经济结构失衡所引发的潜在总供给弱化是经济增速下降的根源。当前,我国国民经济供给端面临着人口红利消失,刘易斯拐点出现,要素成本日益提高;后发技术追赶优势弱化,尖端技术供给缺乏;经济体系高杠杆率以及全要素生产率下降等多重困境。因此,合理借鉴并有效拓展供给学派思想,通过深化改革实现供给端的机制创新,推动经济转型升级,实现经济增长的动力转换,从而使国民经济顺利完成由以往高速增长向未来中高速增长轨道的转化。

In recent years,our country economy downward pressure keeps increasing,the long-term effects of the stimulushas accumulated and the extensive growth structural contradictions have emerged. Economic structural imbalance caused bypotential weakening aggregate supply is the root cause of economic growth decline. At present, our country nationaleconomy supply end faces a demographic dividend disappears, lewis turning point, the cost is increasing day by day.Technological catch-up advantage of backwardness,cutting-edge technology to supply is lack of. Economic system highleverage and multiple difficulties,such as total factor productivity decline. Therefore,reasonable reference and effectivelyexpand the supply-side economics thought, through deepening reform to realize the supply mechanism innovation,promoting economic transformation and upgrading, and realize the dynamic transformation of economic growth, whichmaking the national economy is completed in the high-speed growth into the future by the past the transition ofhigh-speed growth.