产业转移对劳动力流动的影响研究——以安徽省为例

The Influence Study of Industrial Transfer to Labor Mobility——Taking Anhui Province as a Sample

选取1993～2013年安徽省的人口流动以及三大产业产值的数据,将协整理论与误差修正模型加以综合运用来分析安徽省承接产业转移对劳动力流动的影响,结果表明,三大产业与人口流动之间具有长期的稳定关系,并且第二、三产业是人口流动的格兰杰原因,由此表明加工贸易产业由东部地区向中西部地区的转移使得中西部地区劳动力省外转移减少,这为中部地区能够更好地承接产业转移寻找突破口。

This article selects the anhui province from 1993 to 2013 of the population flow and three industrial output data, the cointegration theory and error correction model to the integrated use of to analyze the influence of undertaking industrial transfer of Labour mobility in anhui province, the results show that the three major indus- tries and has a long- term stable relationship between population flow, and the second and third industry is the granger reason of population flow. Suggesting that processing trade industry from the east to the Midwest transfer reduces the Midwest labor transfer outside the province, this is the central region to better undertake industrial transfer breach.