国际贸易理论述评——从模型的假定前提看国际贸易理论发展

Theory of International Trade:a Review—— from the View of the Assumptions of the Model

国际贸易发展至今经历了200多年的历史,先后经历了古典贸易理论时期、新古典贸易理论时期和当代贸易理论时期。本文以模型的假设前提为基础来研究国际贸易理论的发展脉络,结果显示贸易理论的发展过程实质上是变量的内生化过程,最后对可能影响贸易理论的变量预估,展望未来的理论发展。

The development of international trade has gone through more than 200 years of history, it has experienced 3 periods of time： classical trade theory, new classical trade theory and contemporary trade theory~ Based on the assumption of the model, this paper studies the development of international trade theory. The result shows that the development of trade theory is essentially a process of variable, finally the paper estimates the impact of possible variables to the trade theory,moreover forecasts the future development of trade.