区域经济发展中高校规模效益与路径分析

Path analysis and scale efficiency of institutions of higher learning in the development of regional economy

高等教育水平与区域经济发展的联系非常密切,高校对区域人力资本存量和科技水平具有重要影响。以我国中东部九个省份的统计数据为研究对象,样本个案共获取104个,探寻区域GDP和高校数量之间相关关系与因果关系;通过路径分析,利用SPSS统计软件,基于安徽省2002年至2013年面板数据进行实证研究,得到高校规模对区域经济作用的路径图,分析高校规模对区域经济的直接作用和间接作用,对比不同路径的作用和贡献程度,为改善区域经济现状提供一种思路,有利于区域经济的可持续发展。

The level of higher education and regional economic development are linked closely and the institutions of higher learning have an important influence on the regional human capital stock and the level of science and technology. Taking the statistical data of nine provinces in the middle and east of China as the research object and obtaining 104 samples,the paper explores the relationship between the GDP and the number of universities.Through path analysis and using SPSS statistical software,based on the empirical studies on the panel data from2002 to 2013 in Anhui Province,the path diagram of the effect of the scale of institutions of higher learning on regional economy is generated which analyzes not only the direct but the indirect effects of colleges scale on regional economy by comparing the different levels of effect and contribution from different paths. Therefore this paper provides a new perspective for the improvement of regional economy,and it is helpful to the sustainable development of regional economy.