区域经济集中与区域金融稳定的关系——以江苏省为例

Research on Correlation between Regional Economic Concentration and Regional Financial Stability: Taking Jiangsu Province as an Example

采用江苏省13个地级市2002—2013年的相关数据,对区域经济集中与区域金融稳定的关系进行研究,结果表明:区域经济集中与区域金融稳定存在相关性;区域经济集中是区域金融稳定的格兰杰原因,区域经济集中的正向冲击会引起区域金融稳定先反向后正向的变化;随着区域经济集中度的上升,区域金融稳定呈现"先降后升"的U型变化。

Taking the relevant data in 13 prefecture-level cities of Jiangsu province from 2002 to 2013,this paper makes an a-nalysis on the relationship between regional economic concentration and regional financial stability. This result shows that there is a correlation between them:regional economic concentration is the Granger causality to regional financial stability. Owing to a positive impulse from regional economic concentration,regional financial stability will change after the first negative. With the increase of regional economic concentration,regional financial stability presents the U-type change:“first fall and then rise”.