县域城郊新农村改造:主体满意度及其制约因素——基于山东省寿光市城郊农村288份个案调查的实证研究

Peasant's Satisfaction and Its Influencing Factors of Rural Reconstruction: Based on Survey Data of Shouguang City

作为新农村建设的重要内容,新农村改造避不开农民主体的评判。基于山东省寿光市城郊288份农民个案数据,使用区间估计和列联分析法研究发现:当前,城郊农民对新农村改造的满意度较低,且在年龄段、婚姻状况和年收入三个基本特征变量上存在显著差异。使用logistic回归进一步分析发现,城郊农民对新农村改造的满意度受改造前后多方面因素变化的影响,这些因素按影响能力大小依次为:教育培训机会的变化、收入的变化、消费支出能力的变化、村民关系的变化、医疗保障条件的变化、村民维权能力的变化。这一结论蕴含的政策含义是:应在主体需要的调研基础上加强新农村改造工程的系统规划和设计,保护和拓展农民的就业和收入渠道,提高农村基础公共产品的供给质量,建设和谐的村民关系。

As the important content of new rural construction, the rural reconstruction can not avoid farmerpeasant＇s evaluation. Based on the data of 288 farmers from outskirt of Shouguang City in Shandong Province,interval estimation and crosstable analysis show that the farmer＇s satisfaction on the rural reconstruction is lowerand there are remarkable differences difference in the three grouping variables namely age, marital status andincome. Logistic regression analysis finds that the farmer＇s satisfaction for the rural reconstruction is affected bymany contradistinctive factors. These factors can be arranged by influence capacity from large to small as follows：opportunities changes of education and training, income changes, change of consumer spending ability, change ofrelationship among villagers, change of medical security conditions and the villager＇s ability changes to safeguardlegal rights. Accordingly, the rural reconstruction project should be promoted by the following key aspects basedon investigation and research of the farmer＇s demands： to strengthen the system planning and design, to protectand expand the farmer＇s employment and income channels, to improve the supply quality of the rural basic publicgoods, to construct a harmonious relationship among villagers.