不同统计口径下的山东省的城镇化率及其特征

Urbanization rate and features in Shandong Province from different statistical caliber

基于"五普"、"六普"统计口径变更带来的影响,分析了2000年以来山东省城镇化率区域变动的特征。结果发现:"五普"、"六普"统计口径的变更使山东省2010年前后的城镇化率不具可比性;山东省城镇化率提升的速度略低于全国平均水平;山东省欠发达地区的城镇化率提升较快,山东省城镇化率的区域差异呈逐渐缩小的态势;山东省城镇人口空间分布趋于平衡,但城镇化和经济发展的空间分离问题尚未解决。基于山东省城镇化率和人均GDP的回归方程显示,由于人口跨区域流动,人口净流入区的实际城镇化率高于理论城镇化率,人口净流出区的实际城镇化率低于理论城镇化率。

Based on the impact of change of the statisti- cal caliber of fifth census and the sixth census, it analyzes the characteristics of the change of the urbanization rate of Shandong Province since 2000. The results show that the change of the statistical caliber can affect the comparability of urbanization rate in Shandong Province. The urbanization speed in Shandong Province is slightly lower than the national average level. The urbanization rate in less developed areas of Shandong Province increase rapidly; the regional difference of urbanization rate in Shandong Province is gradually reducing; the spatial distribution of urban population in Shandong p Province tends to balance, but the spatial separation of urbanization and economic develop- ment has not been resolved. Based on the regression equation of the urbanization rate and the per capita GDP in Shandong Province, it shows that as the population flow to different regions, the actual population rate is higher than the theoretical urbanization rate in the population net inflow regions, the actual population rate is lower than the theoretical urbanization rate in the population net outflow regions.