福建省经济发展与碳足迹的相关分析

Analysis on correlation between economic development and carbon footprint in Fujian Province

运用IPCC能源矿物燃料排放量计算法分析了1978-2012年福建的碳足迹变化情况,并用衡量区域经济发展状况的3个指标探讨福建省经济发展与碳足迹相关性。研究认为:(1)福建GDP与碳足迹高度相关,呈倒"U"型曲线的趋势。(2)福建GDP与碳足迹处于"弱脱钩"状态;(3)福建碳足迹与产业结构状态相关性明显;(4)福建省碳足迹与能源消耗结构状态不存在明显相关性。提出要大力使用和发展可再生能源,推动能源结构演进进程建设。

The IPCC energy of fossil fuel emissions calculation method is applied to analyze the carbon footprint changes from 1978 to 2012,and the relationship between economic development and carbon footprint is investigated in Fujian Province by the 3 indicators of regional economic development. It has been discovered as follows.（ 1） There is a high correlation between GDP and carbon footprint,tending to be an inverted ＂ U＂ curve in Fujian Province.（ 2） GDP and carbon footprint are still in the weak decoupling state.（ 3） The carbon footprint has a remarkable correlativity with industrial structure in Fujian.（ 4） There is no obvious correlation between carbon footprint and energy consumption structure in Fujian Province. Accordingly it is proposed to vigorously promote the use and development of renewable energy,and accelerate the energy structure improvement.