中国服务业占国内生产总值比重的估算

The Estimation of China's Service Industry of GDP

收集世界银行关于人均国内生产总值、国内生产总值总量(PPP法)等数据,可以分别从核算理论和实证方法两方面,对中国服务业国内生产总值占比被低估这一问题进行分析。结果表明,依据调整后服务业占国内生产总值比重的数据,中国在2009—2010年间就已超过美国,但这并不能代表中国的经济实力和综合国力强于美国。从人均国内生产总值数据看,中国人均国内生产总值还远落后于美国、日本等国家。

This paper using the World Bank Data about per capita GDP and total GDP（ at purchasing power parity law） analyzes the problem of the underestimation of China’s service industry GDP from the aspects of accounting theory and empirical methods. Based on the adjusted data of service GDP sharing,the total GDP of China has surpassed that of United States in 2009. But it does not mean China’s economic power and comprehensive national strength is stronger. From the data of per capital GDP,China is far behind the United States,Japan and other countries.