2015年财政收支分析展望

Analysis and Forecasting of China's Fiscal Revenue and Expenditure

2015年以来,我国需求不足与产能过剩的矛盾更加突出,投资、出口、工业生产和生产价格指数(PPI)持续低迷,财政预算收入增幅创6年新低。在财政收入增长放缓、收支矛盾较大的情况下,有关部门认真落实积极的财政政策,加强支出预算执行管理,积极盘活存量,用好增量,保障了稳增长、惠民生等重点支出需要。第4季度,经济下行压力和财政收支平衡压力仍然较大,建议继续加大盘活存量财政资金的力度,积极扩大债券发行者范围,充分发挥财政资金在产业引导、国家重点项目支持、过渡性债务安排、社会政策扶持和托底等领域的重要功能,增强全社会对未来经济增长良好预期,促进内需稳定较快增长。

Since 2015, the contradiction between China＇s lack of demand and overcapacity is more prominent. Investment, export, industrial production and PPI continued going downturn, the financial budget revenue growth hit a six year low. As revenue growth slowed, the government implement the proactive fiscal policy and strengthen expenditure budget execution, activate the stock and make good use of the increase and protect steady growth. In the fourth quarter, downward pressure on the economy and balance of fiscal revenue and expenditure pressure is still large. It is recommended to efforts to market and live stock funds, and actively expand the bond issuance scope, give full play to better revive existing resources, expand the scope of bond issue. Policies should be towards the function of guide the industry, social policy support. In this way, we build a good expectations for future economic growth and promote a sustained and rapid growth of the domestic demand.