中国商务发展结构变化及“十三五”趋势

Structure Change of the National Commerce and the Trend in the 13th Five-year-Plan Period

目前,中国经济正处于全面建设小康社会的关键时期,处于深化改革开放、加快转变经济发展方式的攻坚时期。在此期间,国际经济形势复杂多变,国内经济增长正进入由高速向中高速转换的"新常态",我国商务发展环境发生了重要变化。本文从我国消费、货物贸易、服务贸易、利用外资、对外投资5个方面综合分析我国商务发展趋势,剖析"十二五"以来商务发展的结构变化,并结合国内外形势展望未来我国商务发展趋势。

At present, it is the critical period of building a well-off society in an all round way for China＇s economy, at the same time, it is also the critical epoch of deepening reform and opening up, accelerating the transformation of economic development mode. During this period, the development environment of intemational economy is complicated and changeable, and the China＇s economy is in the stage of new normal, and its economic growth rate is decreasing to the medium-high speed from the high speed. Thus, the development environment of China＇s commerce has changed. This paper first analyzes the development trend of China＇s commerce from five aspects： the consumption, the goods trade, the service trade, the inward foreign investment and the outward foreign investment. Then, it discusses their structural changes during the 12th five-year plan. Finally, based on the analysis of domestic and international situation, this paper forecasts the development trend of China＇s commerce.