导电液溶胶战斗部毁伤效能评估

Damage Assessment of Conductive Lyosol Cluster Warhead

针对一种新原理反电力系统的子母式导电液溶胶战斗部,研究其毁伤效能评估方法。选择500/220 k V枢纽变电站为典型目标分析其易损性,给出目标毁伤等级划分方法,建立目标等效模型和毁伤律模型。在此基础上,建立基于Monte Carlo方法的战斗部毁伤概率仿真计算模型,编写Matlab仿真计算程序,得出战斗部毁伤概率和战斗部终点弹道特性对毁伤概率的影响规律。研究结果表明,增大战斗部落角可有效提高毁伤概率,武器命中精度与子弹地面分布范围存在最佳匹配关系。建立的毁伤效能评估方法和模型具有合理性和实用性,能够定量计算战斗部毁伤效能,可分析武器系统及战斗部性能参数对毁伤概率的影响。

The damage effectiveness of conductive lyosol cluster warhead is studied. A typical 500/220 k V hub substation is chosen to analyze its vulnerability,and then the damage classification method,equivalent model and damage law model are proposed. The kill probability model of conductive lyosol cluster warhead is established by using Monte Carlo method. Matlab simulation program is written to calculate the kill probability and analyze the influence of terminal trajectory characteristics on killing probability.The results show that the increased angle of attack can effectively improve the kill probability,and there exists an optimal match between CEP and bullet ground distribution. The proposed method and model of damage assessment are rational and practical. The damage effectiveness of warhead can be calculated quantitatively,and the influence of weapon system parameters on kill probability could be analyzed and estimated.