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Possible Chinese Strategic Responses to the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement

中国应对跨太平洋伙伴关系协定的策略
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摘要 Negotiations for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Agreement have concluded, but the TPP still must be ratified by each of the 12 member countries. China is the world's second largest economy and yet it has not joined the TPP. This has provoked much debate in China as to the best strategic approach to the TPP This paper analyzes China's possible strategy for the TPP agreement. We make three key points. First, the security of market access should be China's main concern in any free-trade agreement negotiations, regrettably, it is not included in TPP. The second point is that the present TPP agreement is somewhat diminished from its ambitious original claims. We suggest four strategies for China. The first is to promote the development of China's remaining regional and bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs). The second is to negotiate a bilateral FTA with the United States. The third is to promote deep domestic reforms via enlarged TPP coverage. The last is negotiating entrance to the entering do not worsen. TPP as soon as possible so that terms of 跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)已经达成一致,正处于12个成员国各自的国内审批阶段。中国作为全球第二大经济体,却身处TPP之外,中国应该如何应对TPP成为了舆论热点。本文对中国应对TPP的策略进行了全面分析。针对TPP协定的内容,我们提出以下观点:第一,具有保障性的市场准入是中国区域贸易协定谈判最应关注的问题,但TPP的内容并没有保障性市场准入的任何条款;第二,TPP当前的内容并非高标准,较多地重述了WTO的规则和条款;第三,TPP要获得成员国各自国内的批准并非易事。中国应从以下四个方面应对TPP的挑战:第一,推动中国参与主导的区域和双边FTA的发展;第二,与美国进行双边FTA谈判;第三,进一步深化改革与开放,应对高水平高标准区域贸易协定的挑战;第四,如果要加入TPP,应该尽快参与。
出处 《China Economist》 2016年第1期23-46,共24页 中国经济学人(英文版)
关键词 Trans-Pacific Partnership China free trade agreement 跨太平洋伙伴关系协定 中国 自由贸易协定
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参考文献7

  • 1Li, C., and J. Whalley. 2014. "China and the Trans-Pacific Partnership: A Numerical Simulation Assessment of the Effects Involved." The World Economy, 37(2):169-352.
  • 2Li, C., J. Wang, and J. Whalley. 2014a. "China's Regional and Bilateral Trade Agreements." NBER Working Paper No.19853.
  • 32014b. "China and Global Mega Trade Deals." CIGI Paper No. 34.
  • 4Sun, Y., and J. Whalley. 2015. "China's Antidumping Problems and Mitigation through Regional Trade Agreements." CIGI Paper No.70.
  • 5USTR. 2015. "Summary of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement." USTR News, October 5.
  • 6Williams, B. R. 2012. "Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Countries: Comparative Trade and Economic Analysis." CRS Report for Congress, February 8, 2012.
  • 7Wikipedia. 2015. "Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership." Wikipedia website: http://en.wikipedia.org.

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