中外学者论中美互动与亚太新格局

The China-US Interaction and the New Asia-Pacific Pattern as Discussed by both Chinese and Foreign Scholars

中美两国是亚太地区最为重要的国家,对亚太地区新格局的形成至关重要。一些中外学者认为,受中美互动影响,未来亚太新格局有可能呈现新冷战格局、二元格局、陆海分治、共同领导、协调合作、中美共治六大趋势。由于中美在亚太经济、安全等领域各具优势且两国利益相互交织,中美协调合作将最有可能成为亚太地区新格局的未来趋向。中美互动相互影响、相互塑造,形成何种亚太新格局对于未来的中美关系至关重要。在中美竞争与合作并存的情况下,如何协调彼此的利益,适当采用议题联系战略,对于中美关系平衡十分关键,中美协调合作的亚太新格局将在中美理性互动中逐渐形成。

China and the US are the most important countries in the Asia-Pacific region, and they are the key forces in shaping the new AsiaPacific pattern. Some Chinese and foreign scholars believed, under the influence of the China-US interaction, the new AsiaPacific pattern in the future will be likely characterized as new Cold War pattern, dualistic pattern, partition of land and sea, joint leadership, coordination and cooperation, and shared governance between China and the US. Since China and the US have different advantages respectively in areas such as economy and security in the Asia-Pacific region and their national interests are interwoven, coordination and cooperation between China and the US is likely to be the future trend of the new Asia-Pacific pattern. As the new AsiaPacific pattern and the China-US interaction are influencing and shaping each other, the new Asia-Pacific pattern in whatever form will have vitally important impact on the future ChinaUS relationship. Under the circumstances where there are both competition and cooperation between China and the US, how to coordinate each other's interest and properly pick up strategic issues for discussion will play a key role in balancing the China-US relationship, since the new Asia-Pacific pattern characterized by coordination and cooperation between China and the US will be gradually formed in the process of rational interaction between the two countries.