基于ANP-TOPSIS的中国城乡一体化发展测度研究

A Study on Evaluation of Urban-rural Coordinated Development in China based on ANP-TOPSIS

笔者基于新时期城乡一体化发展内涵,构建了城乡一体化评价体系,引入了基于ANP改进TOPSIS方法的评价模型,对我国2000年-2011年的城乡一体化发展水平进行模拟与测度。结果表明,ANP-TOPSIS的应用增强了多维度系统评价的合理性与可信度;我国当前城乡一体化整体处于探索期的中期阶段,中西部地区与东部、东北地区城乡一体化水平差距明显,且表现为时间序列上的路径锁定;加快广大中西部地区经济和社会发展、建立与健全新型城乡关系应成为我国未来推进城乡一体化的重要任务。

This paper builds an evaluation index system of URCD in the context of URCDconnotation in new era,and the evaluation model for URCD is put forward based on ANP-TOPSIS. Then it uses the above methods to evaluate Chinese current URCD from 2000 to2011. The results show that the index function is improved by applying ANP-TOPSIS model,and it＇s concluded that ANP-TOPSIS is more reasonable and feasible on evaluation of multi-objective programs; China＇s overall URCD is located in the interim phase of the exploration period,while there is a significant gap of URCD level between the Midwest and the Eastern,Northeastern China,and there is a path locked performance in time sequence. Thus,it becomes an important task for the future to accelerate the economic and social development of our country,especially the majority of the Central and Western China.