产业结构调整与污染减排的演化博弈分析

An Analysis of Evolution Game of Adjustment Industrial Structure and Pollution Reduction

产业结构调整是实现污染减排的有效途径,运用动态演化博弈模型对产业之间以及产业与地方政府之间的结构调整与污染减排行为进行分析。博弈结果表明:无政府干预下,产业之间的结构调整选择策略主要与其收益有关,但在政府干预情况下,产业之间是否进行结构调整主要取决于政府的奖励或处罚力度。地方政府只有在收益大于成本时才会推行产业结构调整政策,产业只有在利润大于成本时才会主动进行污染减排。

The adjustment of industrial structure is the effective way to realize pollution reduction. The pape analyzes the structure adjustment of industries and industry government and pollution reduction behavior. The game results show that the strategy of the structure adjustment o industries is related with profit without the interference o government. However, in the context of governmen interference,the structure adjustment is determined by the degree of reward or punishment given by government. The local administration implements structure policy only when the revenue is larger than cost. The industries actively focus on pollution reduction only when the profit is larger than cost.