FDI、经济增长与碳排放之间动态关系研究

Dynamic Relationship among FDI,Economic Growth,and Carbon Emissions

选取国内27个省份1995—2012年相关面板数据,建立面板向量自回归模型对FDI、经济增长和碳排放三者之间动态关系进行研究,并采用脉冲响应分析及方差分解分析。研究表明,FDI对碳排放的影响表现出一种先促进后抑制效果,且抑制效果具有逐渐增强态势,表明未来中国吸收外资更应该注重质量;碳排放是经济增长的原因,故政府在制定政策时需权衡二者之间的关系;FDI对经济增长的影响表现出一种单向的促进效应,但这种效应具有减弱的趋势,表明未来中国经济的发展不能过度依靠外资,需加快经济转型,让本国的资本充分涌动,助力中国经济跨越发展。

Based on the panel vector regression model,the dynamic relationship between FDI,economic growth,and carbon emissions was investigated.The result showed that the influence of FDI on carbon emissions is promotion succeeded by increasing restraint,which indicates that the future economy of China should pay more attention to the quality of foreign capital;carbon emissions is a reason for economic growth,so the relationship between them should be considered and weighed by the government in formulating relevant policies;The influence of FDI on the economic growth is a one-way promotion effect,but this effect tends to be weakened,which shows that in the future China＇s economic development cannot depend excessively on FDI and that economic transformation should be sped up for the sufficient flowing of domestic capital and the transcendence of China＇s economy.