“京津冀都市圈”体育产业结构演化与经济增长的耦合关联研究

Research on Correlative Coupling between Evolution of Sports Industry in BeijingTianjin-Hebei Metropolis Circle and Economic Growth

通过文献资料法、专家访谈法、数理统计法和PEST分析等方法,在论述京津冀都市圈体育产业结构演化影响因素和演化态势的基础上,借助灰色系统理论,建立京津冀都市圈体育产业与经济增长之间的耦合关联度,并提出有针对性的发展建议,旨在进一步调整京津冀都市圈体育产业结构,优化体育产业布局,完善体育产业分工,实现体育产业协同化,为促进京津冀都市圈经济一体化发展提供有价值的参考。研究认为:京津冀都市圈体育产业结构演化受政治环境、经济环境、社会环境和科技环境等诸多外在因素的影响;京津冀体育产业结构演化大致可分为形成、困惑、探索发展和快速发展4个阶段;京津冀都市圈体育产业与经济增长之间耦合关联度排序为,体育媒介业>体育经纪业>体育健身休闲业>体育彩票业>体育用品业>体育竞赛表演业。

The methods of literature consultation,expert interview,mathematical statistics and PEST analysis were used to discuss the factors which affect evolution of sports industrial structure in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolis circle and the evolution trend.This paper established correlative coupling degree between sports industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolis circle and economic growth by means of the grey system theory,and gave reasonable suggestions.The main purpose was to adjust sports industrial structure,optimize sports industrial distribution,promote sports industrial division,achieve sports industrial coordination and offer references for integrated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolis circle.Results：The evolution of sports industrial structure in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolis circle was affected by political environment,economic environment,social environment,technological environment and other external factors.This evolution mentioned above can be roughly divided into four stages：formation,confusion,exploration and rapid development.The sorting of correlative coupling between sports industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolis circle and economic growth was obtained as follows：sports media industry sports brokerage industry the sports fitness leisure industry sports lottery industry sports sporting goods industry competitive performance industry.