中国旅游服务贸易的收支汇率弹性和收入弹性研究

Elasticity of Income and Exchange Rate Applicable to Revenue and Expenditure of China's Tourism Service Trade

收支总额长期以来占据我国服务贸易总额三分之一以上的份额。2005年开始,我国实行有管理的浮动汇率制度。探讨了实际汇率变动和国民收入增加对于我国旅游服务贸易收支平衡的影响。结论显示,人民币升值以及我国国民经济的高速增长会造成旅游服务贸易逆差增加。

China＇s tourism service trade volume is over one third of the total of service trade for a long time. Practical interest rate of RMB has been raised since 2005. This research tries to uncover the effect of practical exchange rate fluctuation and increase of national income towards tourism service trade budget balance. The result shows that the appreciation of RMB and the rapid growth of China＇s national economy will increase the deficit of tourism service trade.