摘要
自20世纪70年代美国国家航空航天局首次提出技术成熟度的概念以来,技术成熟度评价作为一种控制研制风险的有效工具,在美国的重大武器装备采办项目管理中发挥了重要的作用。但目前该工具在我国的应用尚不成熟,没有形成科学、系统的评价方法。针对该现状,提出一个技术成熟度评价的指标体系,用以全面刻画技术在向装备实物转化过程中的状态;同时提出基于层次分析法、信息熵和灰色关联聚类的指标权重确定方法,使得专家的决策信息得以充分挖掘利用。通过一个算例验证该方法在应用中的可行性和有效性,旨在为进一步开展技术成熟度管理工作提供借鉴。
Technology readiness levels have been an effective tool to control the risk of material development and played an important role in American major weapon and equipment acquisition projects since National Aeronautics and Space Administration of America first put forward the concept of it in the 1970s. But the application of this tool in China is not mature without a scientific and systematic evaluation method. An index system was created to characterize completely the situation of a technology when transformed to material. A method of determining index weight based on Analytic Hierarchy Process, the information entropy and grey correlation clustering was also designed to excavate and make full use of the information in experts＇ decisions. An example proved the feasibility and effectiveness of the method in application. The aim is to provide a reference for further working of technology readiness levels management.
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第2期66-70,共5页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"装备体系建设研究"(14GJ003-173)
关键词
技术成熟度
等级评价
指标体系
信息熵
灰色关联聚类
technology readiness levels
grade evaluation
index system
information entropy
grey correlation clustering
