新常态下的经济增长与产业结构关系研究

Economic Growth under the New Normal and Industrial Structure Relationship

经济发展新常态背景下,对我国经济发展和产业结构调整提出了新的要求,我国产业升级面临新压力和新机遇。本文采用普通最小二乘法探索了我国新常态下的经济增长与产业结构关系,研究得出:经济增长与产业结构之间存在协整关系;产业结构变动是经济增长的格兰杰原因,但是不能得出经济增长是产业结构变动的格兰杰原因,经济增长与产业结构之间存在单向的影响关系;定量测算得出第一、二、三产业增加值的估计系数分别为0.2563、0.5325、0.2357,第一、二、三产业增加值与经济增长之间均存在正相关关系。

Under the new normal economic development background, China＇s economic development and industrial restructuring made new demands, industrial upgrading of China is facing new pressures and new opportunities. This article explores the relationship between economic growth and industrial structure of Claim＇s new normal under the ordinary least squares method. The study results shows： there exists co - integration relationship between economic growth and industrial structure; industrial structure changes economic growth Granger cause, but cannot come to that economic growth is the industrial structure Granger reason for the change, the impact of a oneway relationship exists between economic growth and industrial structure; quantitative estimates drawn that first, second and tertiary industries estimated coefficients were 0.2563, 0.5325, 0.2357, there existed positive relationship between first, second and tertiary industries and economic growth.