我国体育彩票销售量与经济增长关系的实证研究

An Empirical Research of the Relationship between the Sales Volume of Sports Lotteries and the Economic Growth in China

体育彩票业是我国市场经济的重要组成部分。基于1995-2014年的时间序列数据,采用单位根检验、协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验等计量经济学方法,对我国体育彩票销售量与经济增长之间的长期均衡和短期动态关系进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,我国体育彩票销售量与经济增长具有长期均衡的关系,体育彩票销售量是经济增长的Granger原因,虽然体育彩票销售收入主要用于体育事业和公益事业的发展,对我国经济增长影响较小,但是体育彩票的销售量对我国经济的发展也能起到一定的促进作用。

Sports lottery industry is an important component of China ＂s market economy. Based on the time series data from 1995 to 2014, the writer of the thesis mainly deals with the empirical analysis of the long- term equilib between the sports lottery sales volume and the correction model. between the sports lottery sales is the rium and short -term fluctuation relationship economic growth in China, adopting the ecoco - integration analysis, The results suggest that there exists a long Granger causality test and error -term equilibrium relationship lottery sales volume and the economic growth in China and that the sports Granger reason for the economic growth, Although revenue is mainly used for the development of sports undertakings and takings , the impact on Chinag economic growth is relatively small, but lotteries would boost the economic growth of China. the sports lottery sales public welfare under- the sales of the sports