安徽出口商品结构与经济增长关系的经验分析

Empirical Analysis on The Relationship between Export Commodity Structure and Economic Growth in Anhui

借助协整、脉冲响应函数与方差分解等计量方法,对安徽省初级产品出口、工业制成品出口及经济增长的关系进行了实证,实证结果显示:安徽初级产品出口和工业制成品出口都促进了经济增长。为此,提出了继续优化安徽出口商品结构,发挥政府宏观调控对出口商品结构的优化作用,千方百计使出口市场更趋多元化,扩大进口和吸引更多的外商直接投资,发扬徽商精神参与"一带一路"建设的建议。

This paper explores the relationship between export commodity structure and economic growth in Anhui province by using the analysis method of cointegration, impulse response function and variance decomposition, etc.Conclusion： primary goods exports and manufactured goods have favorable impact on economic growth in the short run and in the long run. Policy recommendations： Anhui should continue to optimize the export structure, play the role of the government’s macro-control on optimization of export structure, and do everything possible to make export markets more diversification. It should expand imports and attract more foreign direct investment, and carry forward the merchant spirit of Anhui to participate ＂One Belt and One Road＂ construction.