基于要素供给的我国生猪产业阶段性特征与发展趋势分析

An Analysis of the Stage Characteristics and Development Trend of Pig Industry based on the Supply of Essential Factors

产业的发展升级受力于要素禀赋。通过分析我国生猪产业发展历程,本文从土地、劳动力、资本、技术、行业规制、价格等方面完善生猪产业阶段性特征分析框架,总结新中国成立以来、尤其是1978年以来生猪产业发展的途径依赖期、散养主导期、产业规范期、结构调整期和生态健康养殖期等发展阶段的产业特征,揭示产业要素在各阶段对于生猪产业发展的作用机理;并以2000-2012年间生猪产业典型发展要素影响的实证分析,探讨未来的生猪发展趋势和对策建议。

Development and upgrading of industry is influenced by factor endowment. This paper systematically analyzes the development process of China＇s pig industry, improves pig industry stage characteristics analysis framework, from six aspects of the land, labor, capital, technology, industry regulation, price, and sums up industrial characteristics of the five stages of industrial development path dependence, scattered raising leading period, industry norms, structure adjust- ment and ecological health breeding period since the founding of the People＇s Republic of China, especially from 1978 and reveals the mechanism of the industry factor in each stage on the pig industrial development; by empirical analysis of 2000-2012 pig industrial typical elements of the development impact, the paper explores the future development trend of the pig industry, and puts forward some countermeasures and advice.