再工业化的技术变革冲击及其实证研究——以广州为例

Technological Change Strike of Reindustrialization and Empirical Research on It——Take the Case of Guangzhou

发达国家再工业化战略所产生的技术变革冲击,对全球范围内的技术创新活动都将产生一定的影响,并波及区域技术进步的进程。从供求两个角度对再工业化技术变革冲击形式进行的分析表明,可以结合经济指标FDI、进出口分析再工业化的技术变革冲击程度,通过运用协整理论和误差修正模型,分析FDI、进出口与广州市技术创新的短期动态影响及长期趋势变化,从而说明再工业化的技术变革冲击对广州市区域技术创新的影响并不确定。

The technological change strike of developed countries＇ reindustrialization influences the technological innovation around the world to some extent and will also spread to the regional technical progress process. The analysis on the modality of technological change strike of reindustrialization from the angles of supply and demand indicates that the indexes, such as FDI, import and export, can be used to analyze the level of technological change strike. By using the co-integration theory and error correction model and Guangzhou＇s data, this paper analyzes FDI, import, export, short-term dynamic effect of technological innovation and long-term trend of Guangzhou, and draws the conclusion that the influence of technological change strike of reindustrialization on the regional technolog- ical innovation of Guangzhou is uncertain.