基于灰色关联分析教育与经济发展的实证研究——以新疆维吾尔自治区为例

Based on the Grey Correlation Analysis of the Empirical Research of Education Scale and Economic Development——Take Xinjiang for Example

依据人力资本理论,通过选择"学校数"、"每万人口中在校生数"、"每万人口中教师数"、"教育经费"作为教育指标,"人均生产总值"、"城镇居民人均可支配收入"、"农村居民人均纯收入"、"第三产业比重"作为经济发展的相关指标,在建立灰色关联分析模型的基础上,依据新疆各级教育与经济发展指标2004-2013年的历史数据资料,运用灰色关联分析法,通过计算分析新疆教育与经济发展指标间的关联系数发现,在新疆三级教育中,高等教育与经济发展间的关联度最强,初级教育、中等教育较弱,中职教育尚未发挥其对经济的促进作用。

This paper based on the theory of Human capital, choose ＂school number＂,＂number of students per ten thousand population＂, ＂number of teachers per ten thousand population＂, ＂education funds＂as indicators of education scale, with ＂the per capita gross domestic product＂,＂urban per capita disposable income＂＂per capita net income of rural residents＂＂the proportion of the tertiary industry＇as related indicators of economic development,to establish the model of grey relation analysis. Then use history data in 2004-2013 years of all levels of education and economic development indicators of Xinjiang, using the grey correlation analysis method, through calculation and analysis of Xinjiang education scale and economic development index, found that the correlation coefficient in tertiary education in Xinjiang, higher education is most related with the economic development, secondary education especially secondary vocational education has not play its role in promoting the economy.