重庆市固定资产投资与经济增长的实证研究

An Example Study on Fixed Investments and the Economic Growth

本文利用计量经济学方法对重庆1990年-2005年GDP及固定资产投资两个时间序列数据进行了Granger因果检验、协整检验及误差修正模型分析。实证结果表明重庆的GDP和固定资产投资存在双向因果关系,且两者存在长期协整关系和短期动态调整机制,这对于判断重庆投资政策的作用效果有重要意义。

This paper have analyzed two series data of GDP and fixed asset investment in 1990-2005 in Chongqing by econometric methods.The results show that Chongqing's GDP and fixed asset investment bidirectional causal relationship exists,and the long-term existence of the two cointegration relationships and the short-term dynamic adjustment mechanism,which has significant affect the investment policy judgment in Chongqing.