新疆人口分布与经济发展不一致性时空演变分析

Spatio-temporal Evolution Analysis of Population Distribution and Economic Development Inconsistent in Xinjiang

利用人口分布与经济发展的不一致性指数和空间自相关模型,从时空角度出发,对1993,2003,2014年新疆人口分布与经济发展的不一致性现象的空间分布及地域关联性进行分析。结果表明:1 1993—2014年新疆人口分布与经济发展呈现严重的不平衡,二者之间存在错位现象,人口集聚高于经济集聚成为主要特征。人口的空间分布与区域经济之间关系有所协调,但仍具有不均衡性。2新疆人口经济不一致性地域分异明显,各类型区在空间分布上存在集聚性。3新疆人口分布与经济发展的不一致性存在正的、显著的空间自相关性,且这种相关性有增强的趋势。局部空间自相关分析下,全疆人口分布与经济发展的不一致性从东到西形成了"低-低""不显著""高-高"平行分布的集聚格局,且"低-低"与"高-高"的分布格局具有背向性,新疆人口经济不一致性的现状正在逐步改善。

Based on inconsistency index and spatial autocorrelation, the population distribution and economic development spatial distribution and regional correlation in Xinjiang for 1993, 2003 and 2014 are analyzed from the perspective of time and space, Xinjiang population distribution and economic development shows a serious imbal- ance phenomenon, the existence of the phenomenon of dislocation between them, and population concentration is higher than economic agglomeration has become the main features. The spatial distribution of population and region- al economy coordinated somewhat during the period, but still has not balanced. The population and economy incon- sistency in Xinjiang have obvious regional differentiation and various types of region exist agglomeration in space distribution. The inconsistency between 1993 and 2014 of Xinjiang population distribution and economic develop- ment has a positive, significant spatial autocorrelation in space, and this correlation has a tendency to increase. From local spatial autocorrelation analysis, Xinjiang population distribution and economic development inconsisten- cy from east to west formed a ＂low-low＂-＂ no significant＂-＂ high-high＂ parallel distributed clustering pattern, and ＂low-low＂ and ＂high-high＂ distribution patterns have on the back of the spatial distribution, Xinjiang population e- conomy inconsistency is improving gradually from 1993 to 2014.