个人极端暴力犯罪及其防控机制研究——基于75个犯罪案例的实证分析

Research on Mechanism of the Prevention and Control of Individual Extreme Violence Crime——An Empirical Analysis of 75 Criminal Cases

当前我国个人极端暴力犯罪呈现多发态势。如何有效防控此类犯罪成为亟待解决的难题。运用频率统计、描述统计、相关分析、回归分析等方法，对从公开媒体收集到的2001～2014年的75例相关案例进行统计分析，总结该类犯罪的特征，并对其制约因素和刑罚威慑效应进行检验分析，结果显示：犯罪人的贫困发生率是制约其犯罪的重要原因，而刑罚对其犯罪的威慑效应较小。因此，对此类犯罪应采取综合性的防控措施，做到社会控制与社会支持并重。

Individual extreme violence crime has multiple trends in the new period of twenty - first Century. How to effectively prevent and control this kind of crime has become a new problem to solve. In this paper, frequen- cy statistics, descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, regression analysis and other methods are used to analyze the 2001 - 2014 years＇75 typical cases of personal extreme violence crime collected from public media, and the charac- teristics of this kind of crime are summarized. Regression analysis is used to test the deterrent effects of punishment for such crime. The results show that the criminal~ poverty incidence is the main reason of the crime, and the pun- ishment to deter the crime is not effective. At last, this paper presents some measures to prevent the crime.