特大城市人口规模调控对策

On Population Control of a Metropolis

人口规模的变动与城市经济发展有着紧密的联系。北京、上海、广州、深圳4个特大城市人口规模变动的分析表明,对我国特大城市的人口规模调控应因时因地而动,绝不能一刀切。特大城市转型升级面临一个长期的劳动力供应短缺,大学毕业生和普通劳动力一样也会短缺。地方政府应加大供给而不是抑制需求来解决城市发展中的矛盾和问题,应让市场在人口资源配置中起着决定性作用。人口控制将使一些城市失去发展机会。

Population scale is closely related to its economic development. Analysis of population changes in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen shows that population control should not remain the same.. The transformation and upgrading of metropolises is faced with a long-term labor supply shortages, not only ordinary labor but also college graduates. The local government should increase the supply rather than curb the demand to solve the problems in the development of the city, and the market should play a decisive role in the allocation of population resources. Population control may make some cities lose development opportunities.