摘要
因素分析是客运量预测的基础和前提,而铁路客运量的影响因素往往多元且复杂。本文通过整理归纳,最终选定了影响铁路客运量预测的4大类、15小类,共33个因素,分析了各种影响因素的因果关系,对影响客运量预测的建立了层次模型,确定了主次关系,选定了具体可行的测量指标。
Factor analysis is the foundation of the of the passenger volume forecast, but the influencing factor of railway passenger forecast is multivariate and complex. Through arranging and sum up the factor, we have chosen eventually the four big kind fifteen small kind that affect the railway forecast of passenger to share 33 factors, then analysed the relation between cause and effect of various influencing factors, established level model about the affecting factor and determined the relation of primary and secondary, finally chosen specific feasible measure index.
出处
《综合运输》
2016年第2期35-40,共6页
China Transportation Review
关键词
铁路客运量
影响因素
相互关系
测量指标
railway passenger volume
influencing factor
mutual relation
measure index