就业结构优化与城乡居民收入分配的动态关系——基于中国数据PVAR模型的实证测度

The Dynamic Relationship Between Employment Structure Optimization and Urban-Rural Residential Income Distribution——Empirical Analysis of PVAR Model Based on Chinese Data

文章运用PVAR模型研究中国1997—2013年就业结构优化与城乡居民收入分配的动态关系。脉冲响应函数及方差分解的实证分析结果表明,就业结构优化与城乡居民收入分配之间存在着逆向均衡和"非对称的互动关系",就业结构优化水平与城乡居民收入差距存在相互且持久的正向影响,但就业结构优化对于城乡居民收入分配的影响程度较小,城乡居民收入分配对于就业结构优化的影响程度较大。为同步实现优化就业结构和缩小城乡居民收入差距,我国应建立完善城乡统一的社会保障体系,消除劳动力转移障碍,加快形成公平合理的收入分配制度。

This paper studies the dynamic relationship between China＇s employment structure optimization and urban-rural residential income distribution during the year of 1997 to 2012 with PVAR model. The empirical analysis results of impulse response function and variance decomposition show that there is reverse equilibrium and ＂asymmetric and interactive relationship＂ between employment structure optimization and urban-rural residential income distribution; mutual and lasting positive impact exists between employment structure optimization level and urban-rural residential income gap, but the influence of employment structure optimization on urban-rural residential income distribution is small, and the influence of urban-rural residential income distribution on employment structure optimization is great. To realize optimizing the employment structure and narrowing the urban-rural residents income gap, China should actively take effective measures to establish and improve unified urban-rural social security system, to eliminate barriers of labor transfer, and to speed up the formation of fair and reasonable income distribution system.