基于时序主成分的新疆林业发展态势研究

Developing situations of forestry in Xinjiang Province based on the time series & PCA

现代林业是生态文明建设的重要力量,其建设效能对社会经济可持续发展具有关键影响;特殊的地域环境、地理区位与历史使命,赋予了新疆林业特殊的战略地位与发展价值。通过新疆林业发展情况概述,应用时序主成分法,对新疆林业发展态势进行综合评价。结果表明:1)新疆林业发展呈现波动上升态势,但林业整体发展情况低于全国平均水平;2)新疆特色林果业与森林旅游业发展优势显著,其他产业项目的发展稳定性相对较弱。

Modern forestry is the important force of the eco - civilization construction ; its efficacy crucially influ- ences the sustainable development of society and economy. Because of the particular territorial environment, geo- graphical seat and historical responsibility, the forestry in Xinjing has the special strategic role and development value. In the research the developing state of forestry in Xinjiang province was analyzed and evaluated by using the time series ＆ PCA. Results were： Firstly, forestry development in Xinjiang appeared the fluctuant ascent tendency, but the developing situation was still lower than the nation＇s average. Secondly, the development of fruit industry and forest tourism industry had the significant advantages in Xinjiang, and the others were compara- tively weak.