基于GM(1,1)模型的河南省经济发展预测研究

Study on Economic Development Prediction of Henan Province Based on GM(1,1) Model

基于河南省2000—2013年的GDP数据,根据灰色理论建立GM(1,1)模型.根据此模型得到的预测值与实际值的相对误差较低,表明该预测模型适合河南省经济发展趋势预测研究.同时运用此模型对河南省2014年的GDP进行预测,为河南省的经济发展提供科学决策依据.

Based on the GDP datas of Henan province from 2000 to 2013,the paper established GM（1,1）modelby using grey prediction theory. The relative error between the predicted value and the actual value was lower,showing that the forecast model was suitable for the prediction of economic development in Henan Province. Thepaper also used the model to predict GDP data of Henan Province in 2014,so as to provide scientific decision-making basis for economic development of Henan Province.