我国交通基础设施对居民消费需求的影响——基于分位数视角

Influence of Transportation Infrastructure on Resident Consumption Demand in China:A Quantile Regression Perspective

根据2006-2013年中国30个省(市、区)的面板数据,基于面板分位数回归模型对我国交通基础设施对居民消费需求的影响进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:我国公路交通基础设施在中部地区对居民消费需求影响不显著,在西部和东部地区的影响显著,且在西部地区的影响大于东部地区;铁路交通基础设施对居民消费需求的影响在东部地区不显著,在中部地区对低消费群体和高消费群体影响较为显著,在西部地区对居民消费需求有显著影响且随着消费水平的提高而减小。

In this paper, based on the panel data of 30 provinces （municipalities or districts） in China for the period between 2006 and 2013, we had an empirical analysis on the influence of the transportation infrastructure on the resident consumption demand in China based on the panel quantile regression model, finding that the influence of the highway infrastructure was not significant on the resident consumption demand in central China, but it was in western and eastern China, and more so in the western China; the railway infrastrncture had insignificant influence on the resident consumption demand in eastern China, had significant impact on the lower and higher-level consumption groups in the mid-western region and in western China, had gradually diminished impact on resident consumption demand with the increase of the consumption level.