农村精英森林碳汇项目组织意愿及其影响因素分析

Analysis on Rural Elites' Organization Willingness of Forest Carbon Sequestration Projects and its Influencing Factors

以精英理论和社会交换理论为基础,分析可能影响农村精英森林碳汇项目组织意愿的因素,并利用四川省森林碳汇优先发展区273位农村精英的调查数据,采用二元Logistic回归模型进行实证验证。研究表明,现阶段农村精英组织森林碳汇项目的意愿不太强烈,年龄、是否从事(过)林业相关工作、家庭收入主要来源、对森林碳汇项目的收益认知、对项目建设的难易认知、与村民的关系、对国家森林碳汇政策的认知、精英类别等因素显著影响农村精英的组织意愿。提出为年轻农村精英投身森林碳汇事业提供制度安排,培育体制外精英群体,为农村精英提供森林碳汇项目技术指导,加大森林碳汇政策在农村精英群体中的宣传力度等提升农村精英组织意愿、促进森林碳汇项目可持续发展的对策建议。

Based on the elite theory and social exchange theory,this paper analyzes the factors that may affect the rural elites＇ organization willingness of forest carbon sequestration projects,then uses the survey data of 273 elites in priority development areas of forest carbon sequestration projects of rural areas of Sichuan province to validate the theoretical analysis results by using binary logistic regression model. Studies have shown that the rural elites＇ organization willingness of forest carbon sequestration projects are less intense at this stage. Age,whether engaged / engaging in forestry- related work,the main source of household income,revenue recognition of forest carbon sequestration projects,the difficulty recognition of forest carbon sequestration projects,the relationship with the villagers,awareness of national forest carbon sequestration policy and elite category significantly affect the organization willingness of the rural elites. We proposed to provide institutional arrangements for young rural elites to join the cause of forest carbon sinks,to foster elite group outside the system,to provide technical guidance of forest carbon sequestration projects for rural elites,to increase forest carbon sinks policy advocacy efforts in the rural elite group,to enhance the rural elites＇ organization willingness of forest carbon sequestration projects,and to promote the sustainable development of forest carbon sequestration projects.