俄罗斯贸易结构与产业结构错位研究（2000~2014年）

Mismatch between Russia's trade structure and industry structure in 2000-2014

本文采用实证分析的方法对俄罗斯商品贸易结构与产业结构错位问题进行了系统深入的研究。得出的结论是:贸易结构变动对产业结构变动的影响总体是负向的,产业结构变动对初级产品出口结构变动的影响是波动的,对工业制成品进口结构变动的影响主要是正向的。这些现象均与俄罗斯贸易产业政策、俄罗斯贸易结构对产业结构作用机制不健全、第三产业"伪优化"有关。

The paper analyzed systematically and intensively the mismatch between Russia's trade structure and industry structure with empirical analysis.The conclusions drawn out from the study are,first,the effect of changes of trade structure to the industrial structure's change is negative,second,the industrial structure to the export structure of primary product is fluctuating,and is positive to the import structure of manufactured goods.