1993～2014年东盟经济一体化水平测度

The Level Measurement of ASEAN Economic Integration from 1993 to 2014

本文在梳理东盟区域经济一体化研究和区域经济一体化评估方法的基础上,采用多种指标综合评估区域经济一体化水平的方法对东盟1993~2014年区域经济一体化水平的贸易、投资、旅游人数及占比的整体情况进行了测度,发现其一体化程度在2004~2006年开始加速,此后一体化水平趋于稳定状态。说明东盟自由贸易区和东盟共同体的建设取得了显著成效,但一体化效果的潜力有限,尤其在推进贸易一体化方面更显得乏力。

Based on the analysis of regional economic integration of ASEAN and the assessment methods of regional economic integration,this paper measures the level of regional economic integration in ASEAN from 1993 to 2014 by trade,FDI,tourist arrivals and the overall situation,and finds that the degree of integration accelerates in 2004 to 2006,which shows that the construction of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area and China-ASEAN Community of Common Destiny have achieved remarkable success. However,the potential for promoting integration is limited,especially in the trade integration.