城市环保绩效、市长升迁偏好与市民环保满意度——基于2011连氏中国城市服务型政府调查的实证研究

Explaining Citizens' Satisfaction with Environment-Protection Service:2012 Lien's Public Service Survey in 32 Chinese Cities

本研究使用新加坡南洋理工大学2011年连氏中国城市公共服务质量调查在中国32个重要城市(直辖市、副省级城市、省会城市)的调查数据来回答一个城市的环境质量即环保绩效是否、如何以及在多大程度上影响了城市公众对于政府在环境保护方面工作的满意程度。与此同时,本研究还关注城市市长对于环保工作的偏好对于环保服务满意度的影响。由于研究同时包含了公众、城市(包括城市市长)两个层面的研究变量,所以本研究使用了分层线性模型(HLM)作为统计分析工具。数据显示,财政因素、城市领导的环保偏好以及环境质量本身,都能在一定程度上显著影响公众对于环保服务的满意程度,但从更深层次的分析来看,所有上述因素的影响机制都服务城市市长本身作为一名官僚之内在晋升冲动的解释逻辑。

The study explores whether a city's environmental quality or the performance of environment-protection service influence citizens' satisfaction with municipal environment-protection service, how and why, by employing the data from Lien's Public Service Quality Survey in 32 major Chinese cities. Meanwhile, the research also enquires that whether mayors' preferences on environmental issues have some significant impacts on the citizens' satisfaction. As the statistical data have variables in two different levels, one is at the individual level and the other is as the city level, Hierarchal Liner Modelling is used to conduct statistical analysis. The empirical data confirms that environmental quality, local fiscal capacity and mayors' preferences are all significant predictors of citizens' satisfaction with environment-protection service. More importantly, the mechanism of these factors on the satisfaction is consistent with the logic of mayors' incentive for political promotion.