中国农业现代化水平的测算及实证研究——基于劳动力转移视角

Measurement and Empirical Research of Agricultural Modernization Level in China——Based on Perspective of Labor Transfer

参考农业现代化水平综合指标评价体系,利用1978-2012年时间序列数据,通过主成分分析法测定了中国的农业现代化发展水平,构建VAR模型分析了农业劳动力转移对中国农业现代化发展水平的影响。结果表明,从长期来看劳动力转移对农业现代化具有正向的促进作用。据此提出了加快中国农业现代化发展水平的对策。

Using the comprehensive index evaluation system of agricultural modernization level for reference, by using time series data from 1978 to 2012, and through the principal component analysis （PCA） to measure the development level of a-gricultural modernization in China, and then the VAR model was built to analyze the effect of agricultural labor transfer on the development level of agricultural modernization in China. The results showed that, in the long run, labor transfer posi-tively promoted the agricultural modernization. Accordingly countermeasures to speed up the development level of agricultural modernization in China were put forward.