基于产业关联视角下的中俄经贸合作研究

China-Russia Economic and Trade Cooperation based on Industry Association Perspective

区域产业关联理论是研究区域内各经济体之间要素流动和产业投入产出关联特征的一种重要方法。基于《2005年金砖国家国际投入产出表》的国际投入产出模型,利用BRICs IIOT 2005的数据,对中俄双边产业关联的现状进行分析发现,中俄产业结构水平具有一定程度的差距,比较优势互补特征较为明显,俄罗斯在农林牧渔、采矿业水平上要高于中国,中国的比较优势在贸易及交通运输业上,俄罗斯对中国产业结构的依赖程度很高,而两国在制造业上各有优势;中国对俄罗斯各产业的需求拉力和供给推力都要大于其反向作用,中国对俄罗斯的能源和原材料有很大需求,两国的产业关联具有显著的非对称竞争压力。

The theory of regional Industry association is an important method in the study of the area economic factors flow and industry input-output correlation features. Based on the BRICs International Input-Output Table 2005 model,using 2005 BRICs IIOT data to analyze the current relationships between Sino Russian bilateral industry. The study founds that:the level of industrial structure between China and Russia has a certain degree of difference,comparative advantage complementary feature is obvious,Russia has a higher level in agriculture,mining industry than china,while Chinese trade and transportation industry are better than those of Russia.What's more,Russia relies heavily on Chinese industrial structure. In fact,this two countries both have their own advantages in the manufacturing industry. Chinese industry supply and demand pull to Russian is greater than the reverse thrust,China has a large demand on Russia's energy and raw materials. In addition,related industries in both countries have a significant asymmetric competitive pressures.