当前中日经济关系的困境与出路

The Current Dilemma of Sino-Japanese Economic Relations and Its Way to Solution

2012年9月日本政府"购买"钓鱼岛,导致中日政治关系急剧恶化。政治关系持续恶化,导致中日经济关系严重萎缩,陷入困境。2014年11月北京APEC会议前后,中日政治关系逐步转暖,但中日经济关系未能走出困境,以致形成令人担忧的"政温经凉"局面。中日经济关系陷入困境的主要表现,包括双边贸易持续萎缩、双向投资剧烈波动、经贸合作全面停滞等,并已对双方经济发展造成严重影响。中日经济关系陷入困境,既有全球经济回升整体乏力、国际贸易投资总体疲弱,中日双方经济发展和对外经贸关系总体停滞等"一般"背景,也有中日政治关系持续恶化、美国全力推进TPP对中日经济关系的分化等"特殊"原因,对中日经济关系产生贸易投资转移效应。尽快推动中日经济关系走出困境,实现经济互利与政治互信的同步恢复和良性互动,是摆在中日两国政府和社会各界面前的紧要任务。

Sino-Japanese political relations have worsened dramatically since Japanese government 'purchased'the Diaoyu Islands in September 2012,which has also led to the dilemma of Sino-Japanese economic relations. There is a growing trend of improvement of Sino-Japanese political relations around the APEC summit in November 2014,however,there is still no substantial recovery for Sino-Japanese economic relations,which has resulted in the current situation of 'warm politics and cold economy'between China and Japan and exerted negative impact on both two economies. The dilemma of Sino-Japanese economic relations is characterized with the shrinking of bilateral trade,the fluctuation of the two-way investment and the stagnation of economic cooperation. The current dilemma is due to the overall stagnation of global economy and international trading,and the weakness of Sino-Japanese economic and trade relations,as the general background. It is also caused by the constant worsening of Sino-Japanese political relations and U. S campaign for TPP,which have particular influence on Sino-Japanese relations through trade diversion effect. It is urgent for both Chinese and Japanese governments and economic circles to work in order to get rid of the dilemma of Sino-Japanese economic relations and realize the simultaneous recovery and the positive interaction of both economic mutual benefit and political mutual trust.