农户生产环节外包需求意愿与选择行为的偏差分析——基于江苏、江西两省水稻生产数据的实证

Study on Difference between Demand Willingness and Choice Behavior of Peasant Households' Production Links Outsourcing——Based on Empirical Analysis of Rice Production Data from Jiangsu and Jiangxi Provinces

基于2013年江苏、江西两省农户调研数据,采用二元Probit模型实证分析了农户水稻生产环节外包需求意愿向选择行为转化的影响因素。结果表明,家庭收入水平的提高降低了农户外包的资金约束,促进外包需求向实际行为的转化;外包服务价格的提高则阻碍了外包需求向实际行为的顺利转化。土地细碎化阻碍了劳动密集型生产环节外包需求意愿向选择行为的转化,而农技员的技术指导有利于劳动密集型生产环节外包需求意愿向选择行为的转化。最后从控制外包服务价格、降低土地破碎化程度、完善农技员技术指导方式等角度提出相关政策建议以切实满足农户的外包需求,推动外包服务向纵深方向发展。

Based on peasant household survey data in Jiangsu and Jiangxi provinces,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of the transformation of outsourcing demand willingness to actual choice behavior by bivariate Probit model.The result shows that the increase of family income reduces peasant households' capital binding and promotes the transformation of outsourcing demand to actual behavior,while the increase of outsourcing service price hinders the transformation.Land fragmentation impedes the transformation of outsourcing demand to actual behavior in labor-intensive production links,while technical guidance promotes the transformation in labor-intensive production links.Finally,in order to meet the peasant households' demand of outsourcing and promote the deepening of outsourcing service,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions from the perspectives of controlling the outsourcing services price,decreasing the land fragmentation and perfecting agricultural technical guidance.