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2015年全球原油供需变化与油价走势分析

Analysis of Global Crude Oil Supply and Demand Change and Oil Price Trend in 2015
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摘要 2015年,尽管全球原油需求回暖,但由于原油供应大幅增加,特别是OPEC国家原油产量增速更快,导致全球原油供需差额进一步拉大,从而推动国际油价下跌。据成本分析显示尽管国际油价低位运行,但石油公司仍有增产动力,这是全球原油供应不受低油价影响保持增长的重要原因之一。未来,全球原油市场恢复均衡尚需时日,国际油价短期内缺少上涨的基本动力,石油行业应做好应对长期寒冬的准备。 With the substantial increase of crude oil supply, especially OPEC crude oil production growth faster, global oil supply and demand balance widened further, this leads to the decline in international oil prices despite the rebound in global demand for crude oil in 2015. Oil company cost analysis shows that, oil companies are still increasing output although the international oil price is low, which is the main reason of the increasing of the global oil supply. In the future, with the slowly recovery of global oil market and low price of international oil price in the short term, petroleum industry should be ready to deal with the tough situation.
作者 李君臣
出处 《中国能源》 2016年第2期10-14,9,共6页 Energy of China
关键词 国际油价 原油需求 原油产量 OPEC Global Oil Price Oil Demand Oil Product OPEC
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参考文献13

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